I have a piece in today's Financial Express with Manas Dhagat and Pranjal Kinjawadekar of Finsec Law Advisors on the FPI outflows. While we cannot control most of the outflows because of global events, there are some changes that we can implement to delay the new norms which are causing some outflow of clean FPI money. The full piece is as below:
The RBI Bulletin for March 2025 noted a sustained foreign portfolio investment outflows exerting considerable pressure on India’s equity markets and contributing to a weakening of the rupee. Data from the NSDL suggests that FPIs sold equities worth ₹1,12,601 crore in February 2025, and outflows continued at ₹30,015 crore in March, with the trend persisting since last year. With the tarrif wars, this situation has further aggravated. Additionally, the number of registered FPIs declined for the first time in a year, dropping from 11,761 in December 2024 to 11,729 in January 2025, indicating growing concerns among foreign investors. As a consequence, the Indian rupee depreciated by 0.9 per cent month-on-month in February, highlighting the broader macro-financial implications of sustained capital outflows.
Foreign Portfolio Investors’ reduced exposure to Indian markets has been influenced by a mix of domestic and global developments. India’s economic growth has moderated, and corporate earnings—particularly among Nifty 50 companies— though quite robust, have remained relatively subdued over the past few quarters. Against the backdrop of relatively high market valuations, this has somewhat tempered investor appetite. The depreciation of the Indian rupee has also affected return expectations for foreign investors, as currency conversion becomes less favourable. Broader global concerns, including uncertainty around the U.S. economic outlook and ongoing trade tensions, have prompted a more cautious approach toward emerging markets like India. This shift in sentiment has contributed to notable FPI outflows, particularly from sectors such as IT, financial services, and consumer goods. FPI investments are critical to the health of financial markets, as they enhance liquidity, support asset prices, and contribute to currency stability by increasing the supply of foreign exchange. However, when FPIs withdraw, the demand for foreign currency rises, leading to depreciation of the local currency. These outflows can trigger market volatility, depress asset prices, and tighten liquidity, thereby posing broader challenges for macroeconomic management and policy response.
While the exit of FPIs from India may be attributed to geopolitical developments, broader macroeconomic trends, or a strategic rebalancing of global investment portfolios, the absence of ease in investment norms also appears to have been a contributing factor.
In August 2023, SEBI came out with key regulatory interventions introducing additional disclosure requirements for FPIs. FPIs meeting the specified threshold were required to provide granular ownership details, including a full look-through disclosure up to the level of all natural persons holding any ownership, economic interest, or control. The circular did not impose any restrictions on investments but sought greater transparency from FPIs making large investments in a single group of companies. It required disclosure of the ultimate beneficial owner—the individual behind the investment. The requirements did not appear overly burdensome at first, with sufficient flexibility built into the framework, and initially impacted only a small number of FPIs. However, SEBI has additionally adopted the proposal to extend disclosure requirements to ODI subscribers and ODI issuing FPIs, through its Circular dated December 17, 2024. As a result, greater compliance and monitoring obligations have been placed on ODI issuing FPIs and their designated depository participants. These entities must now track investor thresholds, submit daily position reports, and monitor group entities that exercise significant control over ODIs, thereby strengthening oversight and transparency in the offshore derivative instruments space. Unlike direct FPIs, ODI subscribers were not previously required to disclose their ultimate beneficial ownership. In response, the market regulator has adopted a proactive stance, issuing a series of circulars aimed at addressing emerging risks, enhancing transparency, and strengthening compliance within the Indian securities market. These regulatory tightening coincides with a period of shifting FPI sentiment, as evidenced by recent capital outflows. In certain cases, the inability to furnish the requisite data—often due to its unavailability—has resulted in the forced exit of certain FPIs from the Indian market. This needs to be addressed immediately. In fact, the first set of deadlines for some of them is as early as May 2025, and the forced exit of clean FPIs from India can’t adequately be highlighted. Specifically, SEBI should do two things. One, delay the timelines for implemented the new norms to beyond 2026 (assuming the volatility of trade wars will subside by then). Two, use its exemptive authority to those FPIs who cannot find out the last human being in an FPI, which can be a real challenge if the investors number hundreds and many of them are listed companies or the like whose ultimate beneficial owner cannot be fairly obtained. This clearly is the worst time ever to get rid of clean money and make FPIs to divest.
SEBI and RBI play key roles in maintaining financial stability and investor confidence, to counteract FPI outflows. SEBI can review and ease investment norms where appropriate, while maintaining transparency. It can also engage with global investors to address concerns and clarify regulatory expectations. Investors seeking less restrictive regulatory environments may redirect their funds to other markets, affecting capital inflows into India. While SEBI’s broader objective of enhancing oversight and addressing regulatory arbitrage is well-intentioned, the practical implications of these measures warrant more thorough deliberation. Striking the right balance between regulatory rigour and market competitiveness will be crucial to sustaining India’s appeal as an investment destination in the global financial landscape. Similarly, RBI can intervene in the foreign exchange market to manage excessive currency volatility, ensure adequate liquidity in the banking system, and maintain orderly market conditions through monetary policy tools. On the other hand, the broader responsibility for sustaining foreign investor interest lies with the government, which must maintain macroeconomic stability, ensure policy predictability, and foster a favourable investment climate through structural reforms and sound fiscal management. A coordinated approach between regulators and the government is essential to effectively manage capital outflows and strengthen investor confidence. Key drivers of FPI inflows include strong economic fundamentals—such as robust GDP growth and low inflation—which signal long-term stability. Policy consistency, regulatory clarity, and simplified investment norms further support a positive investment environment, while attractive market valuations offer potential for higher returns. Together, these elements shall make India a compelling destination for foreign investors seeking both growth and security.
Disclosure: the firm has adviced FPIs with respect to the disclosures discussed.